In interim report (3) I formulated an aphorism and tried to test it. It seemed to work in 8 of the 9 jurisdictions I reviewed… Read More »A COVID-19 Interim Report (4): R0-Differences per Week
End 2019 I started the blog as a tool for myself, to write down the ideas that appear early in the morning — to prevent them from slipping away again. I am gaining a growing, unruly collection of text fragments this way. Although most fragments have mixed character, each of them gets a single characteristic out of 6 (clickable): fiction for dreams and stories, facts for what can serve as data, frames for ingrained patterns in thinking and feeling (like dogmas), models for theories that can be translated into toy worlds, epi for pieces about the blog itself and code for bits about NetLogo.
When (in March – May) we were still panicking and the intelligent lock-down was announced, I started looking for certainty, for a better picture of… Read More »A COVID-19 Interim Report (3): R0-differences per country
When the Wuhan outbreak was brought under control, it turned out that around 86,000 registered infections had resulted in around 4,700 deaths. In week 11… Read More »A COVID-19 interim report (2): Uncertainties